Today, Apr 01, Wednesday

10:27 – 10:52 7 days events (25.3 min)
11:40 – 11:44 7 days events (4.4 min)
12:00 – 12:31 7 days events (30.7 min)
14:05 – 14:33 time delta bug (28.3 min)

laptop	April 1, 2026	7 days events	1.0 h
laptop	April 1, 2026	time delta bug	28.3 min

Mar 31, Tuesday

16:02 – 16:15 compare SVM to SVR (12.2 min)
16:38 – 16:42 compare SVM to SVR (4.3 min)
17:00 – 18:09 manual temperature (1.2 hours)
18:29 – 18:51 predict temp (21.5 min)
22:44 – 23:02 check pnl on polymarket (18.1 min)

laptop	compare SVM to SVR	0.28
laptop	manual temperature	1.16
laptop	predict temp	0.36
laptop	check pnl on polymarket	0.30
laptop	7 days events	0.00

Mar 30, Monday

Mar 29, Sunday

Mar 28, Saturday

11:17 – 18:22 prophet (7.1 hours)
18:22 – 19:09 prophet (47.3 min)
19:58 – 20:30 SVM (32.7 min)
21:38 – 22:11 calculate profit of SVM (33.8 min)

laptop	prophet	7.87
laptop	SVM	0.54
laptop	calculate profit of SVM	0.56

Mar 27, Friday

11:41 – 11:56 prophet (14.5 min)
14:18 – 14:34 prophet (15.9 min)

laptop

prophet

0.51

Mar 26, Thursday

22:11 – 22:18 prophet (6.1 min)

laptop

prophet

0.10

Mar 25, Wednesday

12:14 – 21:39 prophet (9.4 hours)
21:39 – 21:42 prophet (2.8 min)

laptop

prophet

9.46

Mar 24, Tuesday

20:55 – 21:29 check kimi results (34.1 min)

laptop

check kimi results

0.57

Mar 23, Monday

11:17 – 15:49 multiclass (4.5 hours)
11:17 – 15:49 multiclass (4.5 hours)
15:58 – 17:49 multiclass (1.9 hours)
17:50 – 18:02 multiclass (11.5 min)
19:25 – 19:31 multiclass (6.0 min)
15:58 – 17:49 multiclass (1.9 hours)
17:50 – 18:02 multiclass (11.5 min)
19:25 – 19:39 multiclass (13.6 min)
19:58 – 20:24 check new task (25.9 min)

laptop	multiclass	13.48
laptop	check new task	0.43

Mar 22, Sunday

16:21 – 17:21 just-every code (59.8 min)
16:21 – 17:21 just-every code (59.8 min)

laptop

just-every code

1.99

Mar 21, Saturday

Mar 20, Friday

12:02 – 13:22 logloss vs brier (1.3 hours)
14:06 – 14:50 logloss vs brier (43.3 min)
15:13 – 15:21 logloss vs brier (7.6 min)
20:27 – 21:26 predict mode (58.7 min)
22:27 – 23:19 logloss vs brier (51.4 min)
01:06 – 12:00 trading api (10.9 hours)

laptop	logloss vs brier	3.03
laptop	predict mode	0.98
laptop	trading api	10.89

Mar 19, Thursday

09:56 – 11:45 check zero bins (1.8 hours)
12:01 – 13:04 multiplicative residuals (1.0 hours)
13:10 – 13:48 multiplicative residuals (37.8 min)
13:48 – 13:53 api for betting (4.9 min)
14:39 – 15:03 allowed countries (24.0 min)
15:03 – 15:11 fetch recent prices (8.4 min)
15:14 – 15:43 fetch recent prices (29.2 min)
18:41 – 20:23 check latest events (1.7 hours)
21:11 – 22:06 try only svr (54.6 min)

laptop	check zero bins	1.80
laptop	multiplicative residuals	1.67
laptop	api for betting	0.08
laptop	allowed countries	0.40
laptop	fetch recent prices	0.63
laptop	check latest events	1.69
laptop	try only svr	0.91

Mar 18, Wednesday

18:31 – 20:04 cumulative plot (1.5 hours)
18:31 – 20:04 cumulative plot (1.5 hours)
20:04 – 20:08 automate backtest (3.6 min)
20:04 – 20:08 automate backtest (3.6 min)
20:26 – 21:07 automate backtest (40.9 min)
21:08 – 22:23 automate backtest (1.3 hours)

laptop	cumulative plot	3.09
laptop	automate backtest	2.06

Mar 17, Tuesday

Mar 16, Monday

Mar 15, Sunday

Mar 14, Saturday

12:55 – 13:07 refactor events tables (12.1 min)
13:49 – 14:09 backtest using spread (19.2 min)
15:18 – 15:32 backtest (13.7 min)
15:35 – 15:56 backtest events from pg (21.5 min)
15:56 – 16:40 patch jupyter (43.4 min)
16:40 – 16:55 compare sources (15.8 min)
12:55 – 13:07 refactor events tables (12.1 min)
13:49 – 14:09 backtest using spread (19.2 min)
15:18 – 15:32 backtest (13.7 min)
15:35 – 15:56 backtest events from pg (21.5 min)
15:56 – 16:40 patch jupyter (43.4 min)
16:40 – 16:55 compare sources (15.8 min)

laptop	backtest	0.46
laptop	backtest using spread	0.64
laptop	refactor events tables	0.40
laptop	backtest events from pg	0.74
laptop	patch jupyter	1.45
laptop	compare sources	0.53

Mar 13, Friday

15:14 – 15:18 backtest (4.4 min)
23:03 – 23:29 backtest using spread (25.6 min)
15:14 – 15:18 backtest (4.4 min)
23:03 – 23:29 backtest using spread (25.6 min)

laptop	backtest	0.15
laptop	backtest using spread	0.85

Mar 12, Thursday

12:20 – 13:02 backtest (41.9 min)
13:56 – 14:14 backtest (17.4 min)
13:56 – 14:14 backtest (17.4 min)
15:26 – 16:19 backtest single 7day event (52.1 min)
17:43 – 19:50 backtest single 7day event (2.1 hours)
20:48 – 21:07 backtest single 7day event (19.6 min)
23:06 – 23:07 backtest single 7day event (1.6 min)
23:09 – 01:42 fill events_events (2.6 hours)
15:26 – 16:19 backtest single 7day event (52.1 min)
17:43 – 19:50 backtest single 7day event (2.1 hours)
20:48 – 21:07 backtest single 7day event (19.6 min)
23:06 – 23:07 backtest single 7day event (1.6 min)
23:09 – 01:42 fill events_events (2.6 hours)

laptop	backtest	1.28
laptop	backtest single 7day event	6.70
laptop	check events_event	0.04
laptop	fill events_events	5.11

Mar 11, Wednesday

13:17 – 15:33 backtest (2.3 hours)
16:19 – 17:28 backtest (1.2 hours)
23:11 – 00:15 backtest (1.1 hours)
01:09 – 01:25 backtest (16.8 min)
16:19 – 17:28 backtest (1.2 hours)
23:11 – 00:15 backtest (1.1 hours)
01:09 – 01:26 backtest (16.8 min)

laptop

backtest

7.30

Mar 10, Tuesday

15:42 – 15:50 future leakage (7.2 min)
17:06 – 17:33 future leakage (26.4 min)
18:48 – 20:02 backtest (1.2 hours)
00:27 – 01:19 backtest (52.2 min)

laptop	future leakage	0.56
laptop	backtest	2.10

Mar 09, Monday

Mar 08, Sunday

Mar 07, Saturday

Mar 06, Friday

Mar 05, Thursday

10:18 – 11:51 strategies (1.5 hours)
14:54 – 15:15 strategies (20.9 min)
16:06 – 17:56 strategies (1.8 hours)
17:58 – 18:33 strategies (35.0 min)
18:55 – 21:03 strategies (2.1 hours)
23:16 – 23:36 strategies (19.8 min)
17:58 – 18:33 strategies (35.0 min)
18:55 – 21:03 strategies (2.1 hours)
23:16 – 23:36 strategies (19.8 min)

laptop

strategies

9.82

Mar 04, Wednesday

16:04 – 16:24 validate no future leakage (20.7 min)
16:35 – 17:14 validate no future leakage (39.8 min)
17:29 – 17:59 validate no future leakage (29.4 min)
17:59 – 18:02 talk with Stef (3.0 min)
22:21 – 22:24 strategies (2.8 min)

laptop	validate no future leakage	1.50
laptop	talk with Stef	0.05
laptop	strategies	0.05

Mar 03, Tuesday

00:08 – 00:14 test (5.4 min)

laptop

validate no future leakage

0.01

Mar 02, Monday

Mar 01, Sunday